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[2018/12/16]

Defeat in the Persian Gulf, hoping for the Red Sea  

Defeat in the Persian Gulf, hoping for the Red Sea

The defeat of the Saudis in the Gulf Cooperation Council and the disappearance of its patriarchy in the Arabian Peninsula led many to consider the recent meeting of the council's leaders as the starting point for the collapse of the Gulf Cooperation Council. To the extent that the royal government of Oman, which has always shown a moderate attitude to the political actions of the region, showed itself not to be in a position to adhere to Saudi Arabian leaders by not attending the recent Saudi summit.

15 December 2018

The defeat of the Saudis in the Gulf Cooperation Council and the disappearance of its patriarchy in the Arabian Peninsula led many to consider the recent meeting of the council’s leaders as the starting point for the collapse of the Gulf Cooperation Council. To the extent that the royal government of Oman, which has always shown a moderate attitude to the political actions of the region, showed itself not to be in a position to adhere to Saudi Arabian leaders by not attending the recent Saudi summit.

This led Saudi Arabia to step on the path. The Gulf Cooperation Council mechanism was based on Iran’s constraints, and now it’s no longer functional with the disappearance of its internal core. On the other hand, Oman does not want to disagree with Iran, and on the other hand, Qatar knows, Iran’s space is the only relief route to Doha. Kuwait is not willing to sacrifice relations with Iran because of Saudi Arabia. However, Riyadh has no choice but to focus his propaganda device through a new mechanism.

Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Minister, in an interview, claimed that Saudi Arabia, together with Egypt, Sudan, Djibouti, Yemen, Somalia and Jordan, formed the Union of Red Sea Countries. The purpose of this union is to manage the Strait of Baba Al-Mandeb and the Gulf of Aden. It should not be forgotten that after the Islamic Republic of Iran dominated the Strait of Hormuz and the deployment of defensive power in the Strait and the threat of closure of the Straits, Saudi Arabia was forced to maneuver in the Gulf of Aden, even though Ansarullah prevented them in this area, but Riyadh knows No longer able to operate in the Strait of Hormuz.

In other words, forever, the strait of Hormuz is lost and can not use strategic straits. Riyadh is afraid if Iran wants to close the strait, and on the other hand, with the presence of Ansarullah, the power and the initiative of naval maneuvers in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, what should be done in the geopolitical enclave? The question is, where is the power and strength of this union and is the Gulf Cooperation Council eventually at the fate of the Union of the Red Sea countries?
In response, countries like Sudan, Djibouti, Yemen, Somalia and Jordan have the power to fight and do not have sea control. The military capability of these countries is limited, and these countries even have many crises in the fight against terrorism on their soil. Sudan, which is basically not at a stage that it wants to show military authority.

Somalia, which is not even willing to show control over the pirate elements deployed on its soil, can prove the authority to close Bob Al-Mandeb! Yemen and Djibouti are also not in a better situation. The only country with limited military presence is Jordan and Egypt. To the extent that Jordan needs Saudi Arabia to travel at sea, and Egyptians also know that Saudi Arabia is ready to join the union, it will spend a good deal and Cairo will use this opportunity to solve its domestic financial problems. Indeed, this union is more than a real act of action, a new Saudi propaganda show to end the failure of the Gulf Cooperation Council. It should wait and see Saudi Arabia’s dollars can satisfy the Egyptian people to provide Riyadh with the two islands of Tiran and Kenafir or is Cairo playing court and voting with Saudi Arabia only and has a hat on Riyadh?

 

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